But seriously, whenever I consider the enormity of the Problems, and
the Complete Lack, even antipathy, of any initiative to move on
them, I have to admit that, realistically, there is almost
infinitesimal probability that the Situation can be corrected by
anything other than Cataclysm. That, in fact, the only thing small
bands of... I hesitate to use the word "enlightened", perhaps
"circumspect" is better... of circumspect, aware individuals, the
only thing they can do now is hopefully mitigate the extent and
severity of the meltdown. If not necessarily for ourselves, then for
our offspring, because, given the inertia of global systems, and the
fear on the part of those who truly understand the fragility and
interconnectedness of those systems, and thus will forego making
overt actions to topple them, the oak may in fact stand longer than
we personally live. But systems whose "stability" rest on
singularities are incredibly susceptible to stimulus. A marble in a
chalice, given a push, will oscillate but finally rest in the stable
point at the well. A flawed glass pendant, made to look like
diamond, and balanced on a sharp point, will collapse when pushed
even a little bit. And reach a new trly stable configuration, albeit
likely shattered and strewn about. Yes, our children reap the
whirlwind, and I always feel a pang of guilt knowing that I have
lived at almost the precise point in time (and place) so as to have
enjoyed this incredible prosperity, and the next generation, or
surely the one after that, will have to deal with likely chaos. If
not that, then certainly a drastically reduced comfort and facility.
The tipping point could come from China & Russia calling in the
debt. Peak Oil and a drastic realignment of energy availability
might trigger it. Sufficient natural disaster might be the ticket.
And I do not think the Problem is any way constrained to economic:
climate change, man-made or no (though certainly exacerbated by our
contribution) is upon us. That too is past the point of avoidance,
of preventive intervention. The global energy crisis represented by
Peak Oil will happen. Ancient Sunlight will be exhausted, and a
conversion to coal on the scale our consumption requires is in
itself a monumental catastrophe in the making, at least w.r.t.
health and the environment. Fast-neutron reactors hold some hope,
but come on: there's a hell of a lot less uranium than there is
petroleum. Fusion reactors hold the greatest hope, but there is less
movement in that arena than there's ever been, or at least there is
absolutely nothing reported.
Our governments are deers in the headlight, frozen into inaction by
the enormity of the Problems, and the unelectability of any
candidate who would be willing to incur the cost and pain of doing
anything meaningful about them. And hence the inherent flaw in
democracies & republics, or at least those who either allow their
populace to remain uneducated and informed or (as I suspect) promote
ignorance and bad education (an electorate incapable of critical
thought is an electorate that is most easily manipulated), those
governments that depend on the will of the people, are, in such
complicated emergencies as those we face, are hoisted on the petard
of that popular will. Mayhap a Return of the King, or at least
Plato's Republic, with its notion of absolute power vested in an
neutral person of thre greatest ability, is a "solution". But what
we'll more likely get is a strong-hand despot; when the cataclysm
falls, in the darkness, Naked Power will more easily take control.
In the name of Order and Stability, that is how That Hideous
Strength will rise.
Which brings us to the other aspect of the Problems: already, our
rights and freedoms have been, essentially (and voluntarily)
curtailed and abrogated, and this just as a result of the minor
emergencies we've so far encountered. In the face of the major
disasters to come, economic, energy, climatic, whatever, and in a
milieu of ignorance, functional illiteracy, five second sound bites
and entertainment that teaches that every problem can be solved in a
half hour to two hours tops, the likelihood of Emergency Powers Act
is almost a foregone conclusion.
Yes, a cleansing and a renaissance may be in our future. But there
will be much to cleanse. "Weep for my children, and for what they
will see."